Welcome to Viride

Viride is a systematic options trading program built on 35 peer-reviewed studies of SPX intraday pattern behavior. You've taken the first step. Here's what you'll see as you move through onboarding.

35
Research Studies
12
Live Rules
v1.1
Model Version
+7.0%
Day-1 Return
66%
Signal Hit Rate

Your Onboarding Path

  • ✓
    Email VerifiedIdentity confirmed — you have access to program information.
  • 2
    Confidentiality AgreementProtects Viride's trading strategies. Required before model details.
  • 3
    Letter of Intent (LOI)Defines investment scope and preliminary terms.
  • 4
    Accredited Investor Self-CertificationSEC Rule 501(a) attestation — unlocks full JOA template.
  • 5
    JOA Execution & Live TradingJoint Operating Agreement signed — program commences.

What Makes Viride Different

  • 35 independent studies — each finding is independently testable and falsifiable
  • Rule traceability — every live rule maps back to at least one study
  • Forward audit — v1.0 rules survived out-of-sample testing, no curve-fitting detected (Study 32)
  • Quality gating — R²-based signal filter skips ~49% of days to preserve win rate
  • Asymmetric payoff — TP+10% / Lim-5% with 1.8× payoff ratio at 43.5% WR remains EV-positive
  • Pattern basis — D-streak chaining probability > 60% after 3 consecutive down-days (Study 3)

Model Performance — v1.1

Study 34 backtest charts are loaded from a separate data file so the website stays current without embedding raw numbers in the page markup.

Return by ruleset cut — Study 34 shows how rule selection changes outcomes dramatically.
Trades surviving each cut — stricter execution logic narrows the trade set before capital is deployed.

Research Foundation — Key Findings

Pattern Asymmetry

D-days (down-days) outnumber U-days ~57/43 in SPX across the 506-day study window. More importantly, D-patterns chain at a higher rate — after 3 consecutive D-days, the probability of a 4th is above 60%. This asymmetry is the core signal.

Signal Quality

Approximately 49% of trading days produce no clean signal (Study 24). The R²-based quality gate (Study 18/31) filters these out, concentrating capital on high-confidence days and preserving the win rate above 40%.

Entry Geometry

5-delta OTM SPXW contracts entered between 9:45–10:15 AM capture the majority of the intraday move with limited premium exposure. Fill rates above 73% at mid within 2 minutes reduce slippage to under 5% of premium (Studies 8–10).

Risk Controls

FOMC days and major earnings windows are excluded by rule (Studies 16–17). VIX above 25 triggers a skip rule — false signal rate doubles in high-volatility regimes. Hard stop at 5% of session capital per trade (Study 21).

Ready to Continue?

Your next step is reviewing and signing the Confidentiality Agreement. This protects Viride's trading models and gives you access to the full program documentation.

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Questions & Contact

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